การศึกษาปัจจัยเชิงจำแนกการคงอยู่และการออกกลางคันของนักศึกษาระดับปริญญาตรี ภาคปกติ มหาวิทยาลัยเทคโนโลยีราชมงคล ในเขตกรุงเทพมหานคร

Abstract

The purposes of this research was to study discriminant factors of students’ persistence and dropout and to create predictive equation persistence and drop out of regular program undergraduate students at Rajamangala University of Technology in Bangkok ,Rajamangala University of Technology Krungthep and Rajamangala University of Technology Phra Nakhon. The samples were 695 regular program undergraduate students code 60 including 572 students’ persistence and 123 students’ dropout by proportional stratified random sampling. The instrument for collecting data is 6 rating scales, face validity values ranged from 0.67 – 1.00, the discriminative power from 0.26 – 0.80 and reliability of 0.97. The variables studied include Tinto’ model (academic integration, social integration, goal commitment and institutional commitment) and Bean and Eaton’ model (self-efficacy theory and coping behavior theory). Data were analyzed by Logistic regression analysis. The research found that discriminant factors of students’ persistence and dropout at the .01 level were goal commitment and self-efficacy and logistic regression equation as follows:

log(Odds) =  -3.752 + .098(goal commitment) + .084(self-efficacy)

This formula correctly predicted overall success rate of 82.40, where by correctly predicted 98.80 percent of the group of persistence and correctly predicted 6.50 percent of the group of dropout.