The Strategy of Rescues and Early Detection in Aging Society Risk to Long-Term Care Institution

Authors

  • Hong-Ming Huang Major Author: Ph. D. Graduate Institute of Political Economy, National Cheng-Kung University. Attending Physician of Emergency Department of Chiayi Branch, Taichung Veterans general Hospital.
  • Jenq-Daw Lee Correspondence: Dr., Institute of General Education Center, Far East University, No.49, Chung Hua Rd., Hsin-Shih. Tainan County 744, Taiwan.
  • Jenn-Jaw Soong Professor Dr., Graduate Institute of Political Economy, National Cheng-Kung University. Lecturer.
  • Hung-Jen kuo Institute of General Education Center, Far East University, No.49, Chung Hua Rd., Hsin-Shih. Tainan County 744, Taiwan.

Keywords:

Long-term care, the elderly, Cox proportional hazard model

Abstract

The cost of long-term care has increased in recent years and will more likely keep continuously increasing in the future. It would be valuable to predict the survival probability of an admitted patient being discharged to a long-term care institution in order to prevent the hazard risk. In this study, the Cox proportional hazard model is applied to estimate the hazard risk to the long-term care institution. The individual probability of being transferred to a long-term care institution is then able to assign to each patient about they are admitted to a medical facility. As the results, the aged people, the people lack of support in social, physical, mental aspects, and disable to care themselves, were found of higher probability to be often transferred into the long-term care ins titution.

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